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Old 08-31-2008, 07:25 PM   #11
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Huricane Watch Net will be active at 0800 EDT (1200UTC) Monday morning.

http://www.hwn.org
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Old 09-01-2008, 03:40 AM   #12
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Exclamation Hurricane Gustav Discussion Number 30

000
Wtnt42 Knhc 010257
Tcdat2
Hurricane Gustav Discussion Number 30
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al072008
1100 Pm Edt Sun Aug 31 2008

The Satellite Presentation Of Gustav Became More Symmetric Earlier
In The Evening And Was Giving The Impression Of Increasing
Organization. Over The Past Hour Or So...however...there Has Been
Slight Warming Of The Core Convection In The Eastern Semicircle.
The Central Pressure...which Had Been Falling...seems To Have
Stabilized With The Most Recent Estimate Being 954 Mb. Flight Level
And Sfmr Data Indicate That The Maximum Surface Winds Are Still
Around 100 Kt...with A Peak Smfr Wind Of 100 Kt Just Observed A Few
Minutes Ago...and Peak Flight Level Winds Of 114 Kt. The Sfmr Data
Also Indicate That The Hurricane Force Winds Have Expanded...
Spreading Out The Pressure Gradient Over A Larger Area. Dropsonde
Data From The Noaa G-iv Jet Aircraft Also Show Some Drier Air
Between 300 And 500 Mb Working Its Way Toward The Center Of Gustav
From The South. These Data Suggest That The Landfall Intensity Of
Gustav Will Likely Be Not Very Different From Its Current Category
Three Strength. None Of The Available Objective Aids...the
Gfdl...hwrf...ships...and Lgem Show Much Change In The Remaining
Time Gustav Has Over Water.

The Initial Motion Is 315/14. There Has Been No Change To The Track
Forecast Philosophy That Shows Gustav Moving Northwestward Between
A Mid- To Upper-level Low In The Western Gulf Of Mexico And
Mid-level High Pressure Over The Ohio Valley. Model Guidance Is
Very Tightly Clustered Around The Previous Official Forecast
Through 48 Hours And The New Forecast Is Just About Right On Top Of
The Previous One. After That...as Southwesterly Shear Is Forecast
To Increase...the Models Diverge Sharply. As Before...the Official
Forecast Calls For Little Motion After 72 Hours In The Expectation
That Gustav Will Shear Off...in Good Agreement With The Shallow Bam.

Forecast Positions And Max Winds

Initial 01/0300z 27.3n 88.1w 100 Kt
12hr Vt 01/1200z 28.6n 89.9w 105 Kt
24hr Vt 02/0000z 30.1n 91.9w 85 Kt...inland
36hr Vt 02/1200z 31.1n 93.3w 50 Kt...inland
48hr Vt 03/0000z 31.8n 94.3w 30 Kt...inland
72hr Vt 04/0000z 32.0n 95.0w 25 Kt...inland
96hr Vt 05/0000z 32.0n 95.5w 25 Kt...inland
120hr Vt 06/0000z 32.0n 96.0w 20 Kt...remnant Low

$$
Forecaster Franklin



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Old 09-01-2008, 05:43 AM   #13
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Exclamation This just in from Tallahassee Weather

HURRICANE GUSTAV NEARING THE LOUISIANA COAST.

AT 400 AM CDT.THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH.LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES.
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO
ABOUT 230 MILES SW OF DESTIN. GUSTAV HAS ALREADY MADE ITS
CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE PANHANDLE COAST.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NW NEAR 16 MPH.& THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE LOUISIANA COAST BY MIDDAY
TODAY.


MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY
THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL.WITH WEAKENING
EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER GUSTAV MOVES INLAND LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MIN
CNTL PRESSURE OF 956 MB.28.23 INCHES.

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I guess she's gone passed us. The barometer reads 29.57 here. Fay was lower than that when she passed the other day.

God bless them folks in Louisianna, Mississippi and Texas.



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Old 09-03-2008, 08:45 AM   #14
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Default A Response to Gustav...by the numbers

Part of an email I received from Southern Baptist Disaster Relief the day before Gustav came ashore...

Southern Baptist liaisons are located at the National Headquarters
for American Red Cross and the Department of Homeland Security, Federal
Emergency Management Agency in Washington, D. C. They will assist in providing
close coordination and communication with these agencies. American Red Cross has
also provided a liaison to the North American Mission Board’s Disaster
Operation Center (DOC) located in Alpharetta, Ga.

Meals are currently being prepared by Southern Baptist Feeding Units
at shelters housing evacuees in Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, Kentucky,
Mississippi, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and, Texas. Chaplains are serving with the
Feeding Units to provide ministry and support for the evacuees and volunteers.

A combined capacity of more than 575,000 meals per day has been
activated and has begun moving toward the anticipated impact area. A total of 39
Feeding Units from 23 Baptist state conventions are moving toward the central
Gulf Coast and are expected to arrive over the next three days. Each Feeding
Unit will be accompanied by chainsaw, communication, and shower units as well as
Disaster Relief trained chaplains. A conservative estimate is that more than
4,000 Southern Baptist volunteers will be traveling with these units.

******

When you hear on TV that the Red Cross served xx-thousand meals during a disaster, 90% of the meals are prepared by Baptists, with Lutherans, Catholics and Mormons rounding up the rest. The Red Cross does provide all of the food by various means.

May you never require their services...although the food ain't bad...
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2007 F-150 SuperCab - 2009 Rockwood 8280SS
Lot's of mostly Kenwood stuff

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