Thread: TS Fay - Update
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Old 08-22-2008, 10:47 AM   #2
One Country Boy
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Exclamation TS Fay - 08-22-08 11 AM EDT Update

National Weather Service 11 AM advisory:

TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NHC MIAMI FL AL062008 1100 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FAY STILL PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF OF MEXICO COAST TO DESTIN...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN...AND FROM FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES... 70 KM...NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CROSSING THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SEVERAL STATIONS OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...70 TO 90 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...29.6 N...82.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.

FOREC



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