Thread: TS Fay - Update
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Old 08-23-2008, 07:48 AM   #5
One Country Boy
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Location: Wewahitchka, FL
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Exclamation TS Fay - 5 AM EDT Advisory - Saturday 08/23/08

Our QTH is in the eye of TS Fay at this time. No wind, very calm. The light sprinkle of rain. We have had approximately 4.5 inches of rain at this time. Our barometer reads 29.5

=================

National Weather Service - Tallahassee, FL

FAY LOCATED NO. OF APALACHICOLA & MOVING WEST.

AT 500 AM EDT.THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH.LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR OVER THE FL
PANHANDLE ABOUT 15 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA & ABOUT
50 MILES.EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH.& THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HRS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK.FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF THE
WESTERN FL PANHANDLE TODAY & TONIGHT. & NEAR OR OVER
THE GULF COAST OF MS & AL ON SUNDAY.

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH.WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48
HRS.& FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO
SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES MAINLY
TO THE SO. OF THE CENTER. BAINBRIDGE GA RECENTLY REPORTED A
WIND GUST OF 43 MPH.

ESTIMATED MIN CNTL PRESSURE IS 997 MB OR 29.44 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA WITH ONSHORE WINDS.

OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN FL PENINSULA & THE FL PANHANDLE AND
SOUTHWESTERN GA WITH ISOLATED MAX AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY & TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FL.SOUTHERN GA.& S. AL.

FLZ015-018-027-028-034-231745-
/O.CON.KTAE.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080824T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FRANKLIN-JEFFERSON-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-DIXIE-
635 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2008

TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING INLAND.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.

NEW INFORMATION.

TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN
FL PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. RAINBANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY
WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE HEAVY RAIN & POSSIBLE SEVERE
WEATHER.

AREAS AFFECTED.

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

FRANKLIN.JEFFERSON.WAKULLA.TAYLOR.DIXIE.

WATCHES/WARNINGS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE
IMMEDIATE COAST.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.

TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE FL
PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. WHILE FAY MAY ONLY BE A WEAK TROPICAL
STORM.THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WHICH COULD CONTINUE TO CAUSE SOME POWER OUTAGES IN THE AREA.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF CAUSING MINOR DAMAGE TO
WEAKER MOBILE HOMES.

THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL OF CONSIDERABLE FLOODING FROM THIS
STORM. IF YOU LIVE IN A LOW LYING AREA YOU SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
PREPARATIONS TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. IF NECESSARY.SECURE
SANDBAGS TO PROTECT YOUR PROPERTY.

STORM SURGE & STORM TIDE.

ONSHORE WINDS MAY PRODUCE STORM TIDES THAT ARE 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
MEAN LWR LOW WATER. THIS COMBINED WITH THE TIDE CYCLE MAY
PRODUCE A MAX TOTAL STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IN SOME
LOCATIONS.ESPECIALLY EARLY THIS MORNING. THE MAX STORM TIDE
OF 4 FEET IS MOST LIKELY IN WAKULLA COUNTY.

THE FOLLOWING ARE TIDE PREDICTIONS FOR OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE

TODAY.HIGH TIDE AT 6:08 AM EDT.LOW TIDE AT 1:39 PM EDT.
HIGH TIDE AT 8:16 PM EDT.

SUNDAY.HIGH TIDE AT 7:17 AM EDT. LOW TIDE AT 3:34 PM
EDT.HIGH 10:31 AM EDT.

ST MARKS RIVER ENTRANCE

TODAY.HIGH TIDE AT 6:12 AM EDT.LOW TIDE AT 1:47 PM
EDT.HIGH TIDE AT 8:33 PM EDT

SUNDAY.LOW TIDE AT 1:02 AM EDT.HIGH TIDE AT 6:59 AM EDT.
LOW TIDE AT 3:19 PM EDT.HIGH TIDE AT 10:24 PM EDT.

AUCILLA RIVER

TODAY.HIGH TIDE AT 6:12 AM EDT.LOW TIDE AT 1:57 PM
EDT.HIGH TIDE AT 8:20 PM EDT.

SUNDAY.LOW TIDE AT 1:07 AM EDT.HIGH TIDE AT 7:02 AM EDT.
LOW TIDE AT 3:23 PM EDT.HIGH TIDE AT 10:26 PM EDT.

SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE

TODAY.HIGH TIDE AT 6:12 AM EDT.LOW TIDE AT 1:57 PM
EDT.HIGH TIDE AT 8:20 PM EDT.

SUNDAY.HIGH TIDE AT 7:06 AM EDT.LOW TIDE AT 3:23 PM EDT.HIGH
TIDE AT 8:24 PM EDT.

WINDS.

AS TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
COAST THIS MORNING.TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.WITH HIGHER
GUSTS ARE LIKELY. THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MINOR
DAMAGE TO WEAKER MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHT WEIGHT
OBJECTS.LIKE GARBAGE CANS OR PATIO FURNITURE.MAY BE MOVED BY
THE STORM. POWER POLES OR ELECTRICAL WIRES COULD BE BLOWN
DOWN.CREATING LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES.

WITH A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT & FAY OVER THE
LOCAL AREA.YOU SHOULD HAVE ALREADY SECURED LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS
THAT MAY BE PICKED UP BY THE WIND.

INLAND FLOODING.

SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE DOMINANT THREAT FROM
TROPICAL STORM FAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS 6 TO 8 INCHES. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE MODERATE FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS. RIVERINE FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN THE DAYS AHEAD AS
HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRING OVER THE COASTAL BIG BEND.

TORNADOES.

A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOS EXISTS TODAY AS FAY MOVES ACROSS
THE REGION.

NEXT UPDATE.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM EDT TODAY.OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

FLZ008-012-014-231745-
/O.CON.KTAE.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080824T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WALTON-BAY-GULF-
535 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING INLAND.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.

NEW INFORMATION.

TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD TOWARDS THE EASTERN
FL PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. RAINBANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY
WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE HEAVY RAIN & POSSIBLE SEVERE
WEATHER.

AREAS AFFECTED.

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

COASTAL WALTON.BAY.GULF.

WATCHES/WARNINGS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND AREAS
AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.

TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE FL
PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. WHILE FAY MAY ONLY BE A WEAK TROPICAL
STORM.THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WHICH COULD CONTINUE TO COULD CAUSE SOME POWER OUTAGES IN THE
AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE TO WEAKER MOBILE HOMES.

THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL OF CONSIDERABLE FLOODING FROM THIS
STORM. IF YOU LIVE IN A LOW LYING AREA YOU SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
PREPARATIONS TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. IF NECESSARY.SECURE
SANDBAGS TO PROTECT YOUR PROPERTY.

STORM SURGE & STORM TIDE.

OFFSHORE WINDS AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL PREVENT ANY
INCREASES IN STORM TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING.
HOWEVER.ONSHORE WINDS IN THE WAKE OF FAY MAY PRODUCE STORM TIDES
THAT ARE 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN LWR LOW WATER. THIS COMBINING
WITH THE TIDE CYCLE MAY PRODUCE A MAX TOTAL STORM TIDE OF 2 TO
4 FEET IN SOME LOCATIONS.ESPECIALLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

A SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE AT THIS TIME IS NOT EXPECTED. TIDES WILL
LIKELY RUN 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TODAY & SUN AS FAY MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION.

HERE ARE SOME TIDE TIMES FROM SELECTED LOCATIONS IN THE FL
PANHANDLE.

PANAMA CITY AT SAINT ANDREWS BAY.

SATURDAY.207 PM CDT.LOW TIDE.

SUNDAY.3:39 AM EDT HIGH TIDE.3:40 PM LOW TIDE

DESTIN

SATURDAY.244 PM CDT.LOW TIDE.

SUNDAY.4:13 AM HIGH TIDE.4:17 PM EDT LOW TIDE.

WINDS.

AS TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS THE PANHANDLE
COAST THIS MORNING.TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.WITH HIGHER
GUSTS ARE LIKELY. THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MINOR
DAMAGE TO WEAKER MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHT WEIGHT
OBJECTS.LIKE GARBAGE CANS OR PATIO FURNITURE.MAY BE MOVED BY
THE STORM. POWER POLES OR ELECTRICAL WIRES COULD BE BLOWN
DOWN.CREATING LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES.

WITH A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT & FAY OVER THE
LOCAL AREA.YOU SHOULD HAVE ALREADY SECURED LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS
THAT MAY BE PICKED UP BY THE WIND.

INLAND FLOODING.

SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE DOMINANT THREAT FROM
TROPICAL STORM FAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS 6 TO 8 INCHES. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE MODERATE FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS. RIVERINE FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN THE DAYS AHEAD AS
HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRING OVER THE COASTAL BIG BEND.

TORNADOES.

A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOS EXISTS FOR TODAY & SUN AS FAY
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

NEXT UPDATE.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM EDT TODAY.OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

==================



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