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Old 02-26-2009, 03:54 PM   #1
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Exclamation Severe Weather Expected for Southeastern States

Guys there is a lot of stuff in here to sift though, however if you live in the Southeastern most parts of the US it may well be worth the read. Skywarn Network "chatter" here has been high for 24 hours already about this system and that's pretty unusual. Recomend plenty of radio batteries and other emergency supplies. Check with your local Skywarn and NWS nets and have a listen in on the ARES state nets.

I don't think this is going to be a good camping weekend.

From NWS Storm Prediction Center:


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
330 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009

330 PM EST (230 PM CST) THU FEB 26 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND THEIR
IMMEDIATE FOOTHILLS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

PLEASE SEE MEMNPWMRX (WIND ADVISORY) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ON FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A FEW OF THE STRONGER
STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF
SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...BUT
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON FRIDAY.
$$

DMG





--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
130 PM CST THU FEB 26 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY WINDS OF
10 TO 15 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED...MAINLY
ON OPEN WATERWAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME...THE
STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS EARLY AS 10 AM AND LAST THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE THUNDERSTORM THREATS INCLUDE TORNADOES...LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. IT APPEARS THAT AREAS
NEAR AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 WILL HAVE THE BEST ENVIRONMENT FOR
THE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...BUT AREAS SOUTH TO NEAR MONTGOMERY MAY
SEE AN INCREASED CHANCE DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE
FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD. ANY SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP JUST AHEAD OF THE
MAIN AREA OF PRECIPITATION WILL HAVE A BETTER CHANCE TO PRODUCE A
TORNADO.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...
LASTING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM THREATS WILL
BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS THAT AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 85 AND
HIGHWAY 80 WILL HAVE THE BEST ENVIRONMENT FOR THE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. AN INCREASED THREAT NORTHWARD WILL BE SOLELY
DEPENDANT ON THE POSITION OF THE COLD FRONT.

ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE COLD FRONT AND THE
LIKELIHOOD THAT AREAS WILL BE IMPACTED BY MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.

BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE BOTH AHEAD AND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
THESE CONDITIONS MAY MATERIALIZE FRIDAY...SATURDAY...AND SUNDAY. A
FEW WIND GUSTS OF 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

A STRONG UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SOME MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE AS
THE COLD AIR FILTERS IN. THEREFORE...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF
MEASURABLE SNOW THROUGH NOON ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BECOME
NECESSARY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.


$$

75/LINHARES




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
607 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

AN INCREASE IN EASTERLY SWELLS WILL ENHANCE THE THREAT OF RIP
CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT...

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT. INGREDIENTS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
FRONT...POSSIBLY IN THE FORM OF A SQUALL LINE. STRONG STRAIGHT LINE
WIND WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN BUT THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY ALSO
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. PLEASE MONITOR
SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS FROM THIS OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
ON THE DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME BUT SPOTTERS AND
EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR A POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT SATURDAY NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$

JDS






--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
538 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE REGION...


THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BRING IN WARMER TEMPERATURES AND AN
INCREASINGLY MOIST AIRMASS TODAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE LOW
TO MID 70S. THESE STRONGER WINDS WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE
FOR STRONGER RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND
BEACHES. AS A RESULT...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS
TODAY ALONG THESE BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
A STRONG LATE WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS AT THE SURFACE ACROSS CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THIS SYSTEM
WILL INITIALLY REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
AND ALABAMA...BUT MOVE QUICKLY SOUTHWARD ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS
AN UNUSUALLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. INITIALLY...ISOLATED AND SCATTERED
STORMS WILL FORM WELL AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES SATURDAY AFTERNOON. BY
THE EVENING...A STRONG SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION RIGHT
ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR DESTRUCTIVE
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...HAIL AND TORNADOES.

WHILE THERE STILL REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO THE
EVOLUTION OF THIS STORM SYSTEM...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT A
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE MAY OCCUR ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS OUR REGION.

AS THIS COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION...A VERY COLD AIRMASS
WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. A FEW MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE AIRMASS
MAY BRIEFLY BECOME COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT NON-ACCUMULATING FROZEN
PRECIPITATION SUNDAY MORNING...GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE
FROM DOTHAN TO ALBANY.

AFTER A LIGHT FREEZE SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS...WARMER
TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE REGION BY TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH FRIDAY. SPOTTERS AND
EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS ON THE DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION FOR
SATURDAY AND PREPARE FOR A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE.


FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

$$

38-GODSEY




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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2007 F-150 SuperCab - 2009 Rockwood 8280SS
Lot's of mostly Kenwood stuff

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Old 02-26-2009, 04:16 PM   #2
KB5LJE
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I am watching for it also. Had to get the radio ready


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Old 02-27-2009, 10:53 PM   #3
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That is some serious looking stuff on the radar up there Wade. How much rain have you had ? I see reports out of Birmingham of 6+ inches. It's suppose to start further south tomorrow (Saturday). Looks as though we may get some of it as well.



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Old 02-28-2009, 07:05 AM   #4
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Not as violent, yet, as was suspected. Not predicted but suspected. But it's not over yet. As for rainfall all I know so far is plenty and some of it has been pretty hard. I did see a spot on TV news last night where all the fishermen and the Army COE were excited about what this was going to do to Lake Lanier and some of the other half empty lakes across the region.

Turns out the NWS and SPC folks were holding back on their public, published official forecasts. The reason I posted in the first place was because of some of the private chatter I had come across.

But they were right about this...it's a lousy weekend to be out camping!!
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2007 F-150 SuperCab - 2009 Rockwood 8280SS
Lot's of mostly Kenwood stuff

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